Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 261.341930 295.026233 332.451992 377.307534 429.854355 489.760780 563.652610
2025-05-04 210.933961 254.943758 308.197020 378.131939 468.676388 583.511789 742.725922
2025-05-11 179.316721 226.004298 285.578868 368.531177 483.251352 639.700134 875.297559
2025-05-18 157.476229 205.098236 268.471419 360.978738 496.057107 691.900440 1008.757605
2025-05-25 146.657264 196.809097 266.176637 372.005363 534.747341 785.188266 1220.494080
2025-06-01 134.444920 184.870420 256.861619 370.806937 553.883970 850.495485 1399.821504
2025-06-08 122.745290 172.280662 244.925137 363.589767 561.665167 897.531946 1556.309358
2025-06-15 114.689718 164.164904 238.619885 364.034955 581.407116 967.208745 1769.711256
2025-06-22 105.804648 153.932778 227.937601 355.861748 584.813865 1007.541726 1933.656508
2025-06-29 99.510553 147.132310 221.947364 354.682502 600.129724 1072.163123 2164.251345
2025-07-06 91.292503 136.630997 209.023446 340.032577 588.451216 1081.611406 2272.988067
2025-07-13 89.208240 135.803599 211.920534 353.603045 632.121511 1211.165417 2702.607267
2025-07-20 87.281574 135.194067 215.313195 368.852680 682.297410 1366.805027 3257.560476
2025-07-27 83.124781 130.538190 211.313354 369.780792 703.389086 1462.170786 3685.803940
2025-08-03 77.818291 123.523007 202.531319 360.425753 701.071964 1501.704564 3964.932794
2025-08-10 73.291792 117.552884 195.157797 353.078428 702.113820 1549.755261 4289.580048
2025-08-17 71.629446 116.489697 196.652120 363.807407 745.619385 1715.725281 5077.462145
2025-08-24 68.537409 112.653098 192.646475 362.641431 761.100688 1810.565300 5659.200567
2025-08-31 64.968399 107.726666 186.201472 355.619044 761.418728 1863.303264 6106.777847
2025-09-07 62.556594 104.772426 183.333617 356.052242 780.317066 1974.428063 6850.985468
2025-09-14 59.369160 100.190541 176.959969 348.098623 776.705385 2017.148380 7323.766105
2025-09-21 57.148395 97.298761 173.740321 346.950966 790.809720 2118.966229 8131.544375
2025-09-28 53.698819 91.895381 165.138754 332.691455 767.877202 2096.098722 8317.479695